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2026-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% -2.0 ✓ (3.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 71.0% 29.0% - ✓
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -2.3 ✓ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 70.2% 29.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.2% 44.8% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (93-98). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 38 7-15 3-7 2-2 1 7 1 4 2 19 15 +12.7
Jayson Tatum * 37 6-21 2-11 10-12 7 8 0 2 2 24 18 +3.4
Neemias Queta * 30 2-4 1-1 6-8 13 3 1 3 5 11 22 +23.5
Baylor Scheierman * 28 3-5 3-5 0-0 7 3 2 1 0 9 17 +13.5
Luka Garza * 10 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -6.8
Payton Pritchard 31 5-13 2-7 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 14 -2 -21.0
Sam Hauser 24 2-6 2-4 2-2 9 0 2 0 1 8 12 -2.2
Jordan Walsh 18 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 +0.0
Mitchell Robinson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -18.5
Hugo González 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -13.0

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja'Kobe Walter * 35 5-11 5-10 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 17 11 -10.3
Jakob Poeltl * 32 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 3 6 9 -12.3
RJ Barrett * 31 5-16 0-2 2-2 8 7 2 1 2 12 12 -16.3
Immanuel Quickley * 28 3-14 1-8 4-4 4 4 1 0 2 11 4 -7.9
Collin Murray-Boyles * 20 1-9 1-5 2-4 4 3 0 1 2 5 2 +0.7
Jamison Battle 24 4-7 2-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 12 7 +13.6
Jamal Shead 22 1-6 0-4 1-2 3 6 1 0 2 3 5 +9.8
Allen Graves 18 5-8 3-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 13 10 +6.9
Alijah Martin 15 4-5 4-5 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 12 9 +15.3
Kyle Anderson 11 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 4 0 1 0 2 6 +15.5

* = starter