Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | -5.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -3.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -6 (109-115). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 37 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | -8.9 |
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 21 | -2.4 |
| Pelle Larsson * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +6.4 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 12-21 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 23 | +10.0 |
| Ryan Conwell | 21 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 18 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Bobby Portis Jr. | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Myron Gardner | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.3 |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey * | 35 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | -1.4 |
| Darryn Peterson * | 30 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 10 | -5.5 |
| Josh Green * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +5.4 |
| Josh Okogie * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -21.0 |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -9.1 |
| Isaiah Collier | 24 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +10.7 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -7.0 |
| Mo Bamba | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | -12.5 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Tony Bradley | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +18.2 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +1.8 |
* = starter