Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | -5.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.5% | 26.5% | -11.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -26 (96-122). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +5.8 |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | +13.6 |
| Julian Champagnie * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 25 | 15-19 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 40 | 43 | +25.6 |
| Dylan Harper * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +24.6 |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +24.8 |
| Harrison Barnes | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +19.7 |
| Carter Bryant | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -8.8 |
| Luke Kornet | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4.5 |
| David Jones Garcia | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -5.5 |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 29 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 23 | -0.3 |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 3-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | +0.5 |
| Miles Bridges * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -11.1 |
| Jalen Green * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -14.9 |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -12.3 |
| Collin Gillespie | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -18.2 |
| Ryan Dunn | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -19.5 |
| Khaman Maluach | 19 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -4.0 |
| Luke Kennard | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -27.1 |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Duop Reath | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.6 |
| Pat Spencer | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Koa Peat | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.7 |
* = starter