Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | +3.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +10 (110-100). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 14-23 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 21 | +5.1 |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 29 | +3.8 |
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Cameron Johnson * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8.8 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -14.3 |
| Trevon Brazile | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Spencer Jones | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -17.0 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -5.9 |
| Tyus Jones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -10.2 |
| Bryce Hopkins | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Alpha Diallo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| DaRon Holmes II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 23 | +1.1 |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 | -4.6 |
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +16.0 |
| Marcus Smart | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +4.5 |
| Reed Sheppard | 17 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +8.5 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Isaiah Crawford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Bruce Thornton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter