Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +7.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (125-122). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 32 | -1.8 |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 34 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | +16.9 |
| Ivica Zubac * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +8.0 |
| Braden Smith * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Quenton Jackson | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +8.1 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 22 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -6.5 |
| Obi Toppin | 19 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Jarace Walker | 9 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -8.4 |
| T.J. McConnell | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -4.4 |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 38 | 16-25 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 33 | -9.7 |
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 11-18 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 19 | +26.5 |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | -5.6 |
| Daniel Gafford * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +13.2 |
| Caleb Martin * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -12.8 |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -9.5 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Santi Aldama | 19 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -14.2 |
| Max Christie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.5 |
* = starter