Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | -3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (108-114). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 40 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | -9.7 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 14-23 | 0-1 | 1-7 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 22 | +15.4 |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | -8.6 |
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 8-15 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 16 | +12.8 |
| Pelle Larsson * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Bobby Portis Jr. | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Ryan Conwell | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +7.4 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -10.6 |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. * | 39 | 11-21 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 22 | -8.3 |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -2.9 |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -16.3 |
| Zach LaVine * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Dylan Cardwell * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Keegan Murray | 22 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -5.8 |
| Malik Monk | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +11.5 |
| Leaky Black | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Emanuel Sharp | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
* = starter