Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | -2.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -3.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -22 (103-125). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +24.4 |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 24 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 26 | +20.5 |
| Stephon Castle * | 24 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +14.1 |
| Devin Vassell * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +22.0 |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | +18.9 |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Julian Champagnie | 21 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +11.7 |
| Harrison Barnes | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Carter Bryant | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Luke Kornet | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +6.9 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -11.4 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -10.2 |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 23 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -13.5 |
| Scoot Henderson * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -17.5 |
| Toumani Camara * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -23.0 |
| Donovan Clingan * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -12.2 |
| Damian Lillard * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -9.6 |
| Chris Youngblood | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Hansen Yang | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -2.7 |
| Jrue Holiday | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | -10.4 |
| Sidy Cissoko | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -11.5 |
| Micah Potter | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +7.9 |
| Jayson Kent | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +10.9 |
| Branden Carlson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +10.7 |
* = starter