Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | -1.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -6.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (102-99). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 14 | -7.6 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | +1.7 |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 10-11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | +0.3 |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -22.6 |
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Marcus Smart | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -13.7 |
| Reed Sheppard | 13 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -16.2 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 10-24 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Dillon Brooks * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | -4.8 |
| Miles Bridges * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | +10.9 |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Ryan Dunn | 23 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +29.6 |
| Collin Gillespie | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +13.7 |
| Khaman Maluach | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +14.3 |
| Luke Kennard | 13 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +6.3 |
* = starter