Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | +1.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +7.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +7 (126-119). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 39 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 21 | +2.7 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 39 | 6-12 | 3-3 | 4-9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | -3.3 |
| Tristan da Silva * | 38 | 7-21 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Anthony Black * | 37 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 18 | -3.9 |
| Jase Richardson * | 29 | 1-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | +7.2 |
| Jamal Cain | 35 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | -12.7 |
| Jevon Carter | 15 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Alex Morales | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9.4 |
| Goga Bitadze | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +6.6 |
| Nikola Vučević | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 38 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | +4.1 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 37 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 13-19 | 5-10 | 10-10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 31 | +9.7 |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16 | +7.7 |
| Gui Santos * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Georges Niang | 25 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +10.7 |
| Brandon Williams | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -3.0 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Al Horford | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -6.5 |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Will Richard | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Charles Bassey | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -3.8 |
* = starter