Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -7.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -12 (102-114). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 21 | +0.2 |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | -0.1 |
| Christian Braun * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Cameron Johnson * | 28 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -3.7 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 21 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Spencer Jones | 21 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +12.6 |
| Trevon Brazile | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +6.3 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +7.6 |
| Bryce Hopkins | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.4 |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -4.3 |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 10-18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 27 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Ivica Zubac * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | -3.3 |
| Braden Smith * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.9 |
| Obi Toppin | 22 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -8.1 |
| Jarace Walker | 20 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Quenton Jackson | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 13 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Jalen Slawson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +14.9 |
| Jay Huff | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| T.J. McConnell | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8.9 |
* = starter