Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | +0.0 | ✗ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +2.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LA Clippers -1 (116-117). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 43 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 40 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 29 | +10.5 |
| Bam Adebayo * | 40 | 14-20 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 29 | +10.8 |
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 11-22 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 15 | +18.4 |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -12.8 |
| Pelle Larsson | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -8.2 |
| Ryan Conwell | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Bobby Portis Jr. | 17 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.2 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -18.8 |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 39 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 14 | -16.7 |
| Rui Hachimura * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +8.7 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -1.8 |
| Kris Dunn * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +13.5 |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | +0.1 |
| Max Strus | 23 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -19.3 |
| Kobe Sanders | 17 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -0.5 |
| Keaton Wagler | 15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +14.8 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Baba Miller | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Gradey Dick | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +6.2 |
* = starter