Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +1 (112-111). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 40 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +11.1 |
| P.J. Washington * | 39 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | +6.9 |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 9-27 | 5-14 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Daniel Gafford * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | +8.5 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 21 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +7.5 |
| Caleb Martin | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Marcus Sasser | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 35 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3.4 |
| Dylan Harper * | 35 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 16-28 | 1-8 | 19-23 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 52 | 59 | +19.8 |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Julian Champagnie | 20 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.3 |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -15.7 |
| Luke Kornet | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -23.1 |
| Harrison Barnes | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.8 |
* = starter