Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | +3.0 | โ (16.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | โ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +3.7 | โ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | โ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +19 (128-109). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | -12.9 |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -27.5 |
| Scottie Barnes * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | -20.9 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 22 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Jamal Shead | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -15.9 |
| Jamison Battle | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -13.0 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -11.2 |
| Allen Graves | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Alijah Martin | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +6.7 |
| Kyle Anderson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Jaden Bradley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.9 |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +19.3 |
| Nikola Jokiฤ * | 29 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 35 | +23.8 |
| Christian Braun * | 28 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +20.2 |
| Jamal Murray * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +14.0 |
| Aaron Gordon * | 25 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +7.0 |
| Bryce Hopkins | 27 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +11.0 |
| Trevon Brazile | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +14.7 |
| Tyus Jones | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.8 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.9 |
| DaRon Holmes II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Alpha Diallo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.9 |
* = starter