Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | +1.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -10 (107-117). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +12.2 |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 34 | 10-20 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | +10.2 |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 | +14.5 |
| LaMelo Ball * | 31 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 14 | +17.5 |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | +6.8 |
| Jaylen Clark | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Trey Lyles | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Bones Hyland | 15 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Joan Beringer | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -1.0 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 23 | -6.8 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | -7.3 |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | -5.2 |
| Amen Thompson * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -11.1 |
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | -7.5 |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -8.4 |
| Reed Sheppard | 20 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Marcus Smart | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.9 |
* = starter