Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +9.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (124-116). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 35 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1.7 |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 10-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | +5.4 |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +1.1 |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Jarrett Allen * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Sam Merrill | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -2.1 |
| Mario Hezonja | 22 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -6.4 |
| Meleek Thomas | 18 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Tristan Enaruna | 15 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -4.2 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 11-26 | 5-11 | 15-19 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 25 | +5.1 |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 32 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | +1.1 |
| Kenrich Williams * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -6.2 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | +1.5 |
| Aday Mara * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Micah Peavy | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Jared McCain | 24 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | +0.0 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 21 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +16.2 |
| Josh Dix | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter