Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | +5.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +9.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -4 (103-107). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | +7.1 |
| Braden Smith * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Ivica Zubac * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -19.6 |
| Quenton Jackson | 22 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +16.2 |
| Obi Toppin | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Jarace Walker | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +18.7 |
| Jay Huff | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Kobe Brown | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Jalen Slawson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.0 |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Coward * | 33 | 8-19 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | -4.0 |
| Cameron Boozer * | 33 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | -8.7 |
| Ty Jerome * | 29 | 10-20 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Zach Edey * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | +14.8 |
| Jaylen Wells * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Jerami Grant | 24 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -13.1 |
| Cam Spencer | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | -6.9 |
| Kris Murray | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Quinten Post | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -11.6 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -2.7 |
| GG Jackson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.2 |
* = starter