Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | +0.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (110-118). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 34 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 6-9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | -5.6 |
| Donovan Clingan * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 24 | +11.7 |
| Toumani Camara * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Damian Lillard * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | +3.6 |
| Scoot Henderson * | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Jrue Holiday | 30 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 24 | +14.2 |
| Sidy Cissoko | 22 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Robert Williams III | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Chris Youngblood | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +21.2 |
| Vít Krejčí | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.2 |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 11-11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 27 | -4.5 |
| Christian Braun * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 10-22 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24 | -2.7 |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -14.1 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -8.7 |
| Trevon Brazile | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +6.2 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Tyus Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.6 |
| Alpha Diallo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
* = starter