Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +4.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +16 (109-93). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | -2.3 |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -8.8 |
| Neemias Queta * | 25 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +10.9 |
| Hugo González * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -14.9 |
| Payton Pritchard | 30 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Sam Hauser | 18 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Luka Garza | 17 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Mitchell Robinson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -15.0 |
| Jordan Walsh | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -7.6 |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Mike Conley | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Dillon Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 12-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 31 | +19.2 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +20.2 |
| Kevin Durant * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +10.0 |
| Fred VanVleet * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +12.8 |
| Amen Thompson * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Tari Eason | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +15.9 |
| Marcus Smart | 19 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Isaiah Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Bruce Thornton | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
* = starter