Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | +4.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +9.4 | ✗ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (100-115). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. * | 36 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 11 | +7.4 |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | +7.1 |
| Zach LaVine * | 28 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | +13.1 |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 19 | +19.1 |
| Malik Monk | 30 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | +31.9 |
| Leaky Black | 24 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +8.6 |
| Emanuel Sharp | 19 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +17.0 |
| Nique Clifford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1.4 |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 39 | 3-19 | 0-4 | 11-11 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 4 | -16.1 |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -21.5 |
| Daniel Gafford * | 26 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | -14.8 |
| Caleb Martin * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -17.4 |
| Max Christie * | 7 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +4.1 |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -14.2 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 23 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | -11.5 |
| Marcus Sasser | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -22.1 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -7.9 |
| Jett Howard | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Moussa Cissé | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Tobi Lawal | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.8 |
* = starter