Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | -3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -5 (112-117). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 14-35 | 4-8 | 11-12 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 21 | +9.6 |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Kenrich Williams * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | -7.1 |
| Jaylin Williams * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -14.2 |
| Jared McCain | 26 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Aday Mara | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +8.2 |
| Micah Peavy | 16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +9.2 |
| Josh Dix | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +10.3 |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +6.9 |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -2.2 |
| James Harden * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -11.8 |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +11.8 |
| Meleek Thomas * | 26 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Sam Merrill | 26 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -11.4 |
| Mario Hezonja | 26 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | -3.4 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Thomas Bryant | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -9.0 |
* = starter