Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | +1.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +21 (119-98). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 30 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Jared McCain * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -24.1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -8.1 |
| Kenrich Williams * | 21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -10.4 |
| Aday Mara | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | -6.0 |
| Jaylin Williams | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -18.7 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 26 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -10.7 |
| Micah Peavy | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Josh Dix | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +2.9 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 7-10 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | +18.2 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 10-18 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 26 | +31.7 |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +17.6 |
| Amen Thompson * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Kevin Durant * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +5.0 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 19 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +3.0 |
| Tari Eason | 19 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +9.1 |
| Isaiah Crawford | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +11.6 |
| Clint Capela | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Bruce Thornton | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
* = starter