Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -9.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -25 (111-136). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | +11.0 |
| Evan Mobley * | 24 | 11-16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | +0.8 |
| Jarrett Allen * | 24 | 12-16 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 23 | +19.2 |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 24 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +26.2 |
| Peyton Watson * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Meleek Thomas | 22 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Mario Hezonja | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +10.9 |
| Sam Merrill | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +20.3 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 18 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Thomas Bryant | 10 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -10.4 |
| Riley Minix | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Tristan Enaruna | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.8 |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 27 | 5-18 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | -13.2 |
| Ryan Rollins * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -10.3 |
| Myles Turner * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -6.6 |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 22 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -12.6 |
| Kel'el Ware | 24 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | -10.7 |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -14.9 |
| AJ Green | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10.4 |
| Brayden Burries | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -15.4 |
| Nate Ament | 18 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -8.5 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.5 |
* = starter