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Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 54.6% 45.4% -1.2 ✗ (23.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -5.4 ✗ (27.4 off)
Pythagorean 71.8% 28.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +22 (121-99). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 28 3-12 0-7 6-6 2 1 1 0 3 12 1 -14.3
Dyson Daniels * 27 3-6 0-2 2-3 4 3 3 0 2 8 10 -5.9
Jalen Johnson * 27 5-11 1-3 2-2 7 4 0 1 4 13 10 -22.6
Onyeka Okongwu * 27 3-12 0-5 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 6 5 -21.5
CJ McCollum * 24 5-9 2-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 14 7 -20.0
Luguentz Dort 28 3-9 1-7 4-5 3 0 1 1 0 11 7 -18.3
Kingston Flemings 24 4-8 1-2 3-3 2 6 4 0 3 12 13 -19.4
Aaron Wiggins 22 4-11 2-7 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 10 2 -9.5
Asa Newell 18 5-11 1-6 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 13 6 -0.9
Corey Kispert 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +0.4
Dorian Finney-Smith 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.5
Jock Landale 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 30 5-8 0-0 5-8 6 4 3 0 3 15 17 +25.1
Jeremiah Fears * 30 9-12 1-2 1-2 5 7 1 0 3 20 18 +21.7
Trey Murphy III * 28 4-10 1-3 6-6 5 5 1 1 2 15 15 +26.3
Herbert Jones * 24 5-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 11 6 +16.7
Karlo Matković * 18 3-4 2-2 0-0 10 1 1 1 2 8 15 +17.6
Saddiq Bey 25 9-13 1-2 6-7 6 1 4 0 3 25 20 +9.3
Derik Queen 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 8 4 1 0 3 8 12 +9.9
Bennedict Mathurin 19 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 7 3 -0.9
Trendon Watford 17 2-4 0-1 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 7 6 +1.5
Bryce McGowens 15 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 1 2 1 0 3 5 +6.5
AJ Johnson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -3.6
Julian Reese 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -3.6

* = starter