Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | -5.4 | ✗ (29.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -7.5 | ✗ (31.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +24 (120-96). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCain * | 29 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -14.7 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | -20.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell * | 27 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 17 | +3.4 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | -13.2 |
| Kenrich Williams * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -20.6 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -14.5 |
| Josh Dix | 24 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -20.1 |
| Jaylin Williams | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Aday Mara | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -8.1 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -16.2 |
| Micah Peavy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 32 | 10-23 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | +14.9 |
| P.J. Washington * | 26 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Daniel Gafford * | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | +15.8 |
| Kyrie Irving * | 26 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +26.6 |
| Max Christie * | 21 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +14.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 28 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +16.9 |
| Marcus Sasser | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +11.2 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +10.9 |
| Caleb Martin | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Moussa Cissé | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Jett Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Tobi Lawal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
* = starter