Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -9.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -13 (91-104). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 9-19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Christian Braun * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +9.6 |
| Nikola Jokić * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 25 | +12.5 |
| Trevon Brazile * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | +9.7 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Bryce Hopkins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Tyus Jones | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1.4 |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 31 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | -8.4 |
| Trey Murphy III * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -7.3 |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 23 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -6.2 |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -13.7 |
| Saddiq Bey | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -19.0 |
| Derik Queen | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -2.8 |
| Herbert Jones | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Karlo Matković | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +17.6 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Jordan Poole | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8.8 |
| Bryce McGowens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter