Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | +7.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +7.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (114-119). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 34 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 11-27 | 6-16 | 16-16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 31 | +13.7 |
| Georges Niang * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +7.1 |
| Will Richard | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4.9 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Al Horford | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Brandon Williams | 13 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Gary Payton II | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Charles Bassey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.2 |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -11.6 |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | -10.8 |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 31 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | -10.2 |
| LaMelo Ball * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Rudy Gobert * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -11.9 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | +6.6 |
| Trey Lyles | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +6.8 |
| Joan Beringer | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | -4.6 |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Jaylen Clark | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +8.4 |
* = starter