Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.0% | 30.0% | -5.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.6% | 18.4% | -16.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -32 (100-132). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 33 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Kevin Durant * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 18 | -1.2 |
| Tari Eason * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 29 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +16.0 |
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | +12.7 |
| Reed Sheppard | 23 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.6 |
| Clint Capela | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 | +18.5 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 15 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +19.7 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +7.1 |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.4 |
| Isaiah Crawford | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Bruce Thornton | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +3.7 |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 27 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | -4.6 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 27 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -6.7 |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Ryan Rollins * | 17 | 2-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -3.0 |
| AJ Green | 24 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -12.9 |
| Nate Ament | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -14.0 |
| Brayden Burries | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -15.0 |
| Kel'el Ware | 16 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -28.1 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Jericho Sims | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -10.2 |
| Bogoljub Marković | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.3 |
* = starter