Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -2.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (110-102). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | -11.0 |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21 | -8.3 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -12.9 |
| Jay Huff * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -10.2 |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 20 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Jarace Walker | 28 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -5.5 |
| Quenton Jackson | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Obi Toppin | 23 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -2.9 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 18 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Jalen Slawson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Kobe Brown | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Braden Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 6-10 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 26 | +2.9 |
| Ryan Rollins * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | +11.9 |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +0.2 |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | +15.1 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -0.6 |
| AJ Green | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Kel'el Ware | 19 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | -4.8 |
| Brayden Burries | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Nate Ament | 13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +12.2 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter