Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | -1.6 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -7.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -7 (114-121). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | -3.3 |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +15.4 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | -4.4 |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | +9.5 |
| Reed Sheppard * | 30 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +12.7 |
| Tari Eason | 30 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | -5.2 |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 20 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Clint Capela | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Bruce Thornton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Isaiah Crawford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 32 | +7.3 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +2.7 |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Dyson Daniels * | 28 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | -3.6 |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 28 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Luguentz Dort | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | +3.0 |
| Kingston Flemings | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -4.4 |
* = starter