Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | โ |
| Margin | 85.1% | 14.9% | -9.6 | โ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | โ |
Actual: Miami Heat -17 (111-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 15 | - |
| John Collins * | 29 | 9-15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Paul Reed | 26 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 15-26 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 27 | - |
| Davion Mitchell * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 25 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 24 | 2-11 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Pelle Larsson | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Portis Jr. | 21 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Nikola Joviฤ | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dru Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Richards | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Conwell | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter