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2026-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% - ✗
Margin 99.6% 0.4% -30.4 ✓ (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 84.0% 16.0% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -47 (81-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 28 9-16 0-3 1-1 7 8 3 1 3 19 19 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 27 5-12 2-7 2-2 3 5 2 0 2 14 10 -
Dyson Daniels * 23 5-10 0-1 1-3 9 4 7 1 0 11 22 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 21 4-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
CJ McCollum * 21 4-10 2-7 3-3 1 2 0 1 0 13 7 -
Kingston Flemings 24 2-5 1-1 0-0 6 8 1 0 3 5 12 -
Aaron Wiggins 21 7-9 3-5 2-4 1 1 2 0 1 19 13 -
Jock Landale 18 3-8 1-4 1-2 6 4 1 1 0 8 12 -
Luguentz Dort 18 2-5 1-3 4-5 5 2 1 0 1 9 11 -
Corey Kispert 9 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
Zuby Ejiofor 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Dorian Finney-Smith 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Asa Newell 8 1-2 1-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 24 7-16 3-8 0-0 6 2 1 0 7 17 3 -
Sion James * 23 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 3 2 -
Brandon Miller * 22 2-14 1-11 1-1 2 0 2 1 2 6 -5 -
Moussa Diabaté * 20 2-2 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 1 1 5 13 -
Dennis Schröder * 20 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 1 4 4 3 -
Tidjane Salaün 23 5-9 1-5 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 11 9 -
Grayson Allen 19 3-8 3-6 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 11 6 -
Ryan Kalkbrenner 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 6 11 -
Royce O'Neale 16 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Christian Anderson 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 2 -3 -
Liam McNeeley 12 0-4 0-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
Hannes Steinbach 12 3-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
PJ Hall 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter