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2026-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% +1.5 ✗ (8.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% - ✓
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.6 ✓ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (125-132). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 34 8-13 0-2 4-6 4 3 5 0 2 20 17 +12.0
Onyeka Okongwu * 29 3-8 0-4 2-2 5 7 0 0 2 8 10 +10.5
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 29 8-15 5-8 10-13 4 3 1 1 2 31 23 +11.6
Jalen Johnson * 27 7-19 0-4 6-7 14 6 0 0 2 20 19 +8.3
CJ McCollum * 24 7-9 4-6 1-1 2 3 0 0 3 19 12 +6.5
Aaron Wiggins 31 5-9 3-5 3-3 3 0 2 0 2 16 10 +2.5
Luguentz Dort 28 2-7 2-5 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 8 4 -1.3
Jock Landale 18 4-5 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 1 0 10 11 -5.1
Kingston Flemings 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 0 1 -4.9

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 41 10-12 3-4 12-16 7 10 1 0 6 35 35 -10.6
Desmond Bane * 33 5-15 3-10 5-7 5 2 3 0 2 18 11 -9.2
Jalen Suggs * 32 2-8 0-2 2-2 3 5 2 0 2 6 6 -13.5
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 8-10 1-3 5-5 7 0 1 0 0 22 20 -7.1
Franz Wagner * 29 9-20 2-8 2-4 6 5 1 0 3 22 11 -1.2
Tristan da Silva 28 5-11 4-10 0-0 2 3 1 1 2 14 8 +2.0
Jase Richardson 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 2 2 2 5 +4.8
Jamal Cain 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -4.6
Goga Bitadze 11 1-3 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 0 1 6 9 +8.4
Nikola Vučević 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -8.9

* = starter