Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | -11.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.0% | 16.0% | -18.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -15 (109-124). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 28 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | -13.2 |
| Dylan Harper * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Devin Vassell * | 26 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | -4.7 |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 6-9 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 27 | +22.7 |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | +19.0 |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +7.5 |
| Harrison Barnes | 19 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Luke Kornet | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14.0 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9.5 |
| Carter Bryant | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| David Jones Garcia | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.9 |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leaky Black * | 39 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +11.8 |
| Zach LaVine * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -14.5 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. * | 33 | 9-20 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | -0.6 |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -9.7 |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Emanuel Sharp | 30 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +4.4 |
| Malik Monk | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -4.2 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Alex Karaban | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Nique Clifford | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +4.7 |
* = starter