Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | -4.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.2% | 28.8% | -9.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -14 (107-121). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 36 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 14 | -7.9 |
| Jamal Shead * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | +17.1 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +12.2 |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | +1.0 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 28 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -17.1 |
| Alijah Martin | 30 | 9-11 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 20 | +17.2 |
| Jamison Battle | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Allen Graves | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +16.0 |
| Jaden Bradley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.1 |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Burries * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | +0.0 |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | +5.1 |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Myles Turner * | 23 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| AJ Green | 23 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -15.8 |
| Nate Ament | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -9.1 |
| Ryan Rollins | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -10.1 |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Jericho Sims | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.2 |
* = starter