Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +9.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +12 (112-100). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 34 | 8-20 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | -11.5 |
| Keyonte George * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | -7.9 |
| Ace Bailey * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Darryn Peterson * | 29 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 19 | -10.9 |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +1.1 |
| Josh Green | 23 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Josh Okogie | 23 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -3.4 |
| Isaiah Collier | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Tony Bradley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 32 | 7-14 | 6-10 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 21 | +4.1 |
| Cooper Flagg * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 23 | +14.8 |
| Kyrie Irving * | 28 | 7-20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Daniel Gafford * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -8.2 |
| Caleb Martin * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +14.2 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 23 | +17.9 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 22 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Santi Aldama | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +15.4 |
| Max Christie | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Tobi Lawal | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Moussa Cissé | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Jett Howard | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter