Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +17 (112-95). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 37 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 5 | -13.3 |
| Luka Dončić * | 37 | 12-27 | 6-16 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 22 | +9.6 |
| Walker Kessler * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 22 | +1.7 |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -3.2 |
| Jake LaRavia * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -12.7 |
| Quentin Grimes | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -14.7 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -23.2 |
| Collin Sexton | 15 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -19.8 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8.6 |
| Chris Mañon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Bronny James | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +10.5 |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | +18.6 |
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 11-23 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 18 | +22.8 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | -18.4 |
| Gui Santos * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +10.0 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 20 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +11.2 |
| Georges Niang | 18 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +22.1 |
| Brandon Williams | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Al Horford | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -12.5 |
| Will Richard | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +19.8 |
| Charles Bassey | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +14.5 |
| Gary Payton II | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Malevy Leons | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| LJ Cryer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
* = starter