Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -11.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -25 (106-131). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | +23.7 |
| Anthony Edwards * | 32 | 16-29 | 9-17 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 28 | +19.1 |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +14.4 |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 28 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +20.0 |
| LaMelo Ball * | 28 | 7-17 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +13.6 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 28 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +16.4 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr | 19 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Joan Beringer | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8.2 |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Bones Hyland | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Jaylen Clark | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Cody Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Isaiah Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | -20.3 |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | -21.2 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 29 | 13-19 | 0-2 | 9-14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 21 | -4.2 |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -20.9 |
| Klay Thompson * | 16 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -19.5 |
| Nikola Jović | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Bobby Portis Jr. | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Pelle Larsson | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -7.9 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 17 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Nick Richards | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Ryan Conwell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Myron Gardner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
* = starter