Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 6-23 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Paul George * | 30 | 12-21 | 7-12 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 27 | - |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Walsh * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Neemias Queta | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Sam Hauser | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Hugo González | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luka Garza | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| John Collins * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Joe | 19 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Huerter | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Javonte Green | 17 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Paul Reed | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter