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2025-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 71.6% 28.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% - βœ“
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 βœ— (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - βœ—
Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - βœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (114-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 38 7-25 2-14 13-14 3 6 1 0 6 29 8 -
LeBron James * 36 8-17 1-5 9-14 3 4 2 2 8 26 12 -
Marcus Smart * 31 2-7 1-5 3-4 4 6 1 2 2 8 12 -
Deandre Ayton * 30 10-11 0-0 0-2 13 0 2 1 3 20 22 -
Rui Hachimura * 30 1-5 1-4 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 3 8 -
Jake LaRavia 21 2-9 0-4 2-2 8 1 2 2 0 6 10 -
Gabe Vincent 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
Jaxson Hayes 17 4-4 0-0 4-5 9 2 0 0 2 12 17 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 15 2-5 1-2 2-2 7 0 2 1 0 7 12 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Gillespie * 36 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 10 10 -
Grayson Allen * 35 4-11 1-5 4-4 2 7 3 0 2 13 12 -
Devin Booker * 31 7-17 0-5 13-16 6 7 1 1 1 27 24 -
Mark Williams * 28 9-10 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 3 1 20 19 -
Dillon Brooks * 24 6-9 4-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 18 8 -
Royce O'Neale 23 4-7 4-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 12 10 -
Jordan Goodwin 18 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 5 3 -
Ryan Dunn 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 5 5 -
Oso Ighodaro 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 2 3 -
Jamaree Bouyea 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Nick Richards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter