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@
Utah Jazz 140
2025-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 65.7% 34.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 ✗ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 54.5% 45.5% - ✗

Actual: Utah Jazz +7 (140-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg * 41 13-27 1-4 15-20 7 6 1 2 4 42 27 -
P.J. Washington * 39 10-20 1-2 4-7 13 0 0 1 2 25 17 -
Ryan Nembhard * 38 6-12 2-6 0-0 4 11 1 0 4 14 14 -
Naji Marshall * 36 7-12 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 15 8 -
Daniel Gafford * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 6 -
Max Christie 28 2-5 0-2 4-4 5 3 0 1 0 8 12 -
Dwight Powell 23 2-4 0-0 3-6 9 0 0 0 0 7 12 -
Klay Thompson 20 4-10 4-9 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 5 -
Moussa Cisse 13 2-4 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 1 1 6 10 -
Jaden Hardy 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keyonte George * 40 11-20 5-10 10-12 5 6 0 0 2 37 26 -
Lauri Markkanen * 39 11-23 1-6 10-12 16 5 4 1 1 33 35 -
Kyle Filipowski * 37 9-13 2-4 5-6 9 1 0 1 2 25 21 -
Ace Bailey * 24 3-9 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 7 2 -
Brice Sensabaugh * 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 4 6 -
Isaiah Collier 31 4-8 0-2 2-2 3 8 2 1 0 10 16 -
Cody Williams 22 5-9 1-3 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 11 5 -
Taylor Hendricks 18 4-5 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 11 10 -
Kyle Anderson 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -
Walter Clayton Jr. 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 2 3 -

* = starter