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2025-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% - βœ“
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 βœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - βœ—
Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -7 (105-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 36 11-21 6-10 4-4 4 10 1 0 3 32 23 -
Tobias Harris * 31 4-11 0-5 5-6 7 3 0 0 0 13 12 -
Jalen Duren * 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 1 6 6 -
Duncan Robinson * 25 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
Ausar Thompson * 22 3-6 0-0 1-7 6 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
Isaiah Stewart 22 3-6 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 0 7 9 -
Jaden Ivey 20 4-11 1-7 1-1 3 3 2 0 2 10 5 -
Caris LeVert 19 5-10 2-5 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 13 6 -
Ronald Holland II 14 3-8 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
Javonte Green 14 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 8 9 -
Daniss Jenkins 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 40 13-25 1-5 7-14 8 7 1 3 4 34 24 -
Derrick White * 37 10-18 5-12 6-7 6 1 1 1 4 31 18 -
Payton Pritchard * 35 5-14 2-8 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 12 6 -
Neemias Queta * 34 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 0 6 12 -
Jordan Walsh * 17 2-3 1-2 3-3 6 0 2 0 2 8 11 -
Anfernee Simons 25 3-9 0-5 3-3 0 1 0 0 0 9 1 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
Baylor Scheierman 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Josh Minott 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Sam Hauser 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter