Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (136-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 16-26 | 12-19 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 28 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 19 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 32 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 16 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Gui Santos | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 12-22 | 7-13 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 15 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 12-13 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 32 | 12-18 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 25 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kris Murray | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Caleb Love | 12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter