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2025-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.5% 84.5% - βœ“
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 βœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% - βœ“
Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% - βœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +14 (117-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 8-15 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 1 0 17 11 -
Keegan Murray * 38 3-11 1-3 3-4 8 1 0 5 4 10 9 -
Russell Westbrook * 28 4-13 0-3 0-0 7 10 3 0 4 8 11 -
Maxime Raynaud * 26 3-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 2 8 7 -
Zach LaVine * 15 4-8 1-4 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
Precious Achiuwa 26 7-7 1-1 2-4 6 0 0 1 0 17 17 -
Malik Monk 26 3-9 3-5 7-7 3 3 0 1 0 16 14 -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 25 5-11 3-5 4-5 1 3 0 0 2 17 8 -
Nique Clifford 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 37 7-19 1-7 6-6 4 2 2 0 2 21 8 -
Julius Randle * 36 9-21 2-6 4-6 10 3 3 0 1 24 18 -
Bones Hyland * 35 6-10 1-4 5-5 3 5 0 1 2 18 15 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 33 7-18 3-9 1-2 6 6 4 2 1 18 17 -
Rudy Gobert * 20 3-4 0-0 1-6 12 3 0 1 1 7 18 -
Naz Reid 34 7-12 4-7 2-2 11 3 2 1 2 20 23 -
Jaylen Clark 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Rob Dillingham 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 5 6 -

* = starter