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2025-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - βœ“
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.8 βœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% - βœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quentin Grimes * 38 4-14 4-10 2-2 2 7 2 0 2 14 9 -
VJ Edgecombe * 38 9-21 4-10 4-4 6 2 0 1 2 26 12 -
Paul George * 33 11-21 7-10 6-6 4 3 0 1 2 35 20 -
Joel Embiid * 30 8-20 1-3 5-6 14 1 1 2 3 22 17 -
Dominick Barlow * 27 4-6 1-1 2-3 7 1 2 1 1 11 15 -
Andre Drummond 19 2-6 0-1 1-2 10 3 1 3 0 5 16 -
Jared McCain 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 5 2 0 0 0 5 -
Jabari Walker 17 0-2 0-0 4-6 5 1 1 1 0 4 10 -
Kyle Lowry 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Justin Edwards 8 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 38 13-19 1-2 0-2 10 4 1 2 3 27 22 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 36 6-17 5-9 3-4 15 4 1 2 4 20 21 -
Jalen Johnson * 35 5-17 0-1 2-2 10 12 1 1 2 12 17 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 34 3-18 2-5 4-4 7 6 1 0 2 12 6 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 21 5-9 3-5 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 15 10 -
Vít Krejčí 25 6-9 4-6 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 19 15 -
Luke Kennard 20 1-2 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
Asa Newell 13 4-6 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 9 8 -
Mouhamed Gueye 10 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 -
Keaton Wallace 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter