Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.3% | 7.7% | -13.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (126-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 36 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 17-31 | 8-15 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 48 | 24 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-11 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 27 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Dean Wade | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bub Carrington * | 41 | 10-20 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 36 | 9-20 | 3-9 | 6-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kyshawn George * | 26 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Justin Champagnie * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 29 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Will Riley | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Tre Johnson | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
* = starter