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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% -
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% -
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% -
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +10 (115-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 35 6-15 1-2 5-5 5 7 1 0 2 18 14 -
Pascal Siakam * 33 8-18 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 20 9 -
Ethan Thompson * 32 4-10 2-7 2-3 2 3 0 0 0 12 7 -
Bennedict Mathurin * 29 2-8 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 7 6 -
Jay Huff * 27 4-12 4-11 1-1 4 2 0 3 0 13 10 -
Garrison Mathews 23 2-6 2-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 8 8 -
Jarace Walker 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 3 6 -
T.J. McConnell 17 7-11 1-1 0-0 2 5 2 0 0 15 13 -
Isaiah Jackson 11 3-8 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
Tony Bradley 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Johnny Furphy 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
VJ Edgecombe * 39 6-10 3-5 7-10 4 5 2 0 0 22 23 -
Quentin Grimes * 38 3-9 2-7 2-2 9 4 1 1 1 10 15 -
Dominick Barlow * 34 4-8 0-2 2-2 8 1 0 1 0 10 12 -
Paul George * 33 8-17 4-7 3-3 6 5 1 0 4 23 14 -
Joel Embiid * 31 12-23 2-8 13-18 9 3 1 0 3 39 26 -
Justin Edwards 18 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 -
Andre Drummond 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 1 0 10 -
Jared McCain 13 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 0 -
Jabari Walker 13 0-0 0-0 6-8 2 0 0 0 2 6 6 -

* = starter