Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | β (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | β |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +27 (142-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 30 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Asa Newell | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Cade Cunningham * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 21 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Javonte Green | 20 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 18 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Paul Reed | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 4 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter