Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | β (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +23 (143-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 30 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | - |
| Kris Murray * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 27 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 31 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 23 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Caleb Love | 21 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Duop Reath | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Javonte Cooke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derik Queen * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 31 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 25 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 29 | 8-11 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 25 | 8-19 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Yves Missi | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter