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2025-12-12

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% - βœ“
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 βœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% - βœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (115-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 40 9-22 3-10 3-3 9 4 5 1 1 24 20 -
James Harden * 40 7-18 4-10 4-5 3 7 3 0 4 22 13 -
Ivica Zubac * 34 13-14 0-0 7-11 7 1 1 2 1 33 29 -
Kris Dunn * 25 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 6 2 0 3 9 8 -
John Collins * 23 3-7 0-3 3-3 0 2 2 0 2 9 4 -
Nicolas Batum 27 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 6 5 -
Bogdan Bogdanović 24 2-4 2-3 4-4 5 2 1 0 0 10 14 -
Brook Lopez 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
Kobe Sanders 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 41 8-12 0-3 4-4 9 8 1 0 1 20 25 -
Kevin Durant * 36 5-14 3-5 3-3 1 3 0 0 5 16 1 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 36 6-14 2-8 4-4 10 4 1 0 4 18 15 -
Alperen Sengun * 36 9-22 0-3 4-6 15 5 4 0 5 22 19 -
Josh Okogie * 21 3-6 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 8 8 -
Reed Sheppard 26 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 10 7 -
Aaron Holiday 17 4-9 4-7 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 13 4 -
Steven Adams 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 4 9 -
Clint Capela 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter