Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | β (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -13 (119-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kornet * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 26 | 10-14 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 28 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 20 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 40 | 11-24 | 3-8 | 10-14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 22 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 39 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 30 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 28 | 9-16 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bronny James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter